The Guardian

Scotland SNP braced for leadership result after contest opens up profound divisions

Libby Brooks Scotland correspondent

The Scottish National party is braced for the outcome of a tumultuous leadership contest that has seen profound policy divisions emerge between the candidates, exposing to what extent the wider membership subscribes to Nicola Sturgeon’s progressive consensus.

A series of flashpoints over LGBTQ+ rights, Westminster’s veto of Holyrood law, and environmental and economic policy have brought younger, equality-driven activists to the brink of resigning their party memberships and threatened the breakup of the SNP’s governing alliance with the Scottish Greens.

On Monday afternoon, the party will learn who its 72,000 members have chosen to succeed Sturgeon as leader after her shock resignation last month. Humza Yousaf, now widely regarded as the frontrunner, has pledged to continue the equalities agenda that defined the Sturgeon era.

His main rival, Kate Forbes, an evangelical Christian whose opposition to abortion and equal marriage nearly derailed her campaign in its first week, has been highly critical of the outgoing first minister’s record, challenging her model of progressive taxation and an urgent transition away from oil and gas exploration.

Both Forbes and the third candidate, Ash Regan, would drop Sturgeon’s commitment to fight Westminster’s veto on the Holyrood gender recognition reform bill in the courts, and have stated their opposition to self-identification for trans people.

Despite Forbes’ rocky start, the race has been too close to call, but in the final week the momentum has been with Yousaf, as he set out a series of targeted policies for women, young people and a North Sea energy transition, with polling suggested he was edging ahead.

But the popularity of Forbes’ platform with some members has upended assumptions about the party’s core beliefs, leading many to question whether the “broad kirk” character of the SNP is sustainable and what “progressive” actually means to the wider party.

Given Sturgeon’s dominance for nearly a decade – “an iron grip”, as one MP described it – there is a strong sense that it is only in recent weeks that other viewpoints have had a chance to flourish. The hostile reaction to Forbes’ positions led some supporters to suggest she was subject to a “witch-hunt”.

While MSPs and councillors have insisted the membership will get behind the next leader, whoever is chosen, the knife-edge nature of the campaign has unsettled as many members as it has invigorated.

“This is about the direction of the SNP,” said one councillor who has held a number of equalities roles in the party. “I do think there will be resignations if the party elects someone who is not only opposed to equal marriage, but also won’t challenge Westminster on gender reform and has a more centre-right economic plan. A lot of people will feel that isn’t the party they joined.”

Another councillor said: “Many members only joined after 2014, and have only known Nicola as leader, so they feel immense loyalty to the progressive agenda she developed. They’ve also never known so much public division, and found that really destabilising.”

Last weekend, the president of the SNP, Mike Russell, said his party was “in a tremendous mess” after Peter Murrell, its chief executive and Sturgeon’s husband, quit in a row over membership numbers that highlighted longstanding concerns over the behaviour of party HQ , in particular its failure to deal with abuse and harassment complaints.

There is palpable anger and frustration in the party. “It didn’t have to be this way, they were warned all the way along,” said one former member of its national executive committee, while senior activists have underlined the urgency of internal party reforms to complaints procedure, local government support and membership outreach.

National | Politics

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2023-03-25T07:00:00.0000000Z

2023-03-25T07:00:00.0000000Z

https://guardian.pressreader.com/article/281651079356507

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